as well as Texas — the biggest surprise in the 50-state results. The Texas results, which are based on a sample of more than 5,000 people, show a dead heat, with Clinton ahead by one percentage point.
The massive survey highlights a critical weakness in Trump’s candidacy — an unprecedented deficit for a Republican among college-educated white voters, especially women. White college graduates have been loyal Republican voters in recent elections, but Trump is behind Clinton with this group across much of the country, including in some solidly red states.
Though Clinton's lead has narrowed, it's still substantial on the national level (around 4 points). But more importantly, the electoral advantage she maintains is huge. States like Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina remain potential, and even likely flips. While it's not clear that Trump could win any major battleground state.
The Texas weakness is particularly shocking. But, the economy of Texas has changed fairly fast, and as a result has attracted many Northern, College Educated, Whites, who are more liberal leaning. Texas could flip away from Republicans faster than imagined because Trump has also pushed Latino voters away from the party rapidly.