http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
While most were hedging bets and calling for a close race even describing it continually as a dead heat, Nate Silver was predicting a 91% chance for Obama on November 6th.
Not only was his model nearly spot on, it looks like he may call every state correctly, including hard to call Florida (which he gave Obama a 50.3% chance to win). Florida isn't called yet, but Obama is ahead 50% to 49% as of now.
Not only that, but Nate's popular vote prediction was pretty accurate as well. He had it 50.8% for Obama to 48.3% for Romney, a +2.5 spread.
The results appear to be 50.3 % for Obama and 48.1% for Romney. A +2.2 Result.
Anyone still questioning this guy?